Getting Back to Normal

Ascending a mountain either by foot or by car can be exhilarating. We take in the incredible view for a while and then we come back down from the peak to a plateau. In other words, back to the normal view of the world.

Such has been the residential real estate market for the last five years. In our area, we reached the top of the peak at the beginning of 2006. And, all the way down from the peak, the media has chronicled every decline worrying sellers and buyers.

The latest Case-Shiller Home Price Index for our area shows that home prices have dropped 31% since the peak over three years ago. That statistic sounds shocking, however, the report shows home prices have simply returned back to the March 2004 levels when homeowners were very happy with the value of their property. We need to remember in just the 18 months from March 2004 to September 2005, there was a sharp 41% increase in prices due to very low inventory. So a drop to 2004 price levels is more like getting back to normal.

Another aspect of housing that is getting back to normal is mortgage-lending qualification. We hear concerns about lower qualification ratios and higher down payments that were ignored previously. We now understand that returning to previous reasonable standards is prudent. With a return to these standards and lenders willing to lend, the historically low interest rates are making today's mortgages even better than normal.

These and other factors are the reasons that a recent Gallup poll found that 71% of Americans think now is a good time to buy a house. If now is the right time for you or anyone you know, please allow me to assist in any way I can.